Thursday, May 31, 2007

"RAY KURZWEIL: Right. We'll be able to download knowledge."
"The last leg of a two-decades-long effort by the U.S. Energy Deaprtment to unleash superefficient solar power by 2011 is homing in on the so-called Stirling engines."
"Gradually, in 2020, I would expect that you would be able to get a direct diagnosis from an AI (artificial intelligence) system which will go straight through to an AI-based chemist which will check that the drugs are compatible and you will get your prescription [filled by a robot]-- probably with minimal human intervention," said Ian Pearson, futurologist for British Telecom.

Wednesday, May 30, 2007

"If Yale’s pilot program is successful, online video offerings could expand in future years to 'several dozen' courses in a range of disciplines."

Doctors' Data Online

Nanofactory-Open Source

Outsourcing Lawyers - ai lawyer


"Many people think the so-called AI winter in the 1980s, when many AI companies folded, was the end of the story. But boom-bust cycles are sometimes harbingers of true revolutions (recall the railroad frenzy of the 19th century), and we see the same phenomenon in AI."
-Kurzweil - tells of trying to make ai that will do well on the LSAT

"Artificial intelligence can now engage in legal reasoning, because a well-designed program can tell a lawyer, or even a judge, what cases are really closest to the case at hand, and what cases are properly distinguished from it."
You can get 64 GB of RAM nowadays. One used to have about 128 MB a few years ago.

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

"Tiny 'nano-projector' to launch in 2008"

Artificial General Intelligence Research Institute

Monday, May 28, 2007

"Kurzweil (1999) predicts by 2019, the role of teaching will shift from academic professionals to intelligent software, which can provide interactive, individualized instruction at anytime to students virtually located anywhere. The composition of human academic professionals will be almost entirely comprised of proven innovators and market leaders, who provide “value-added” service to knowledge networks by creating new context for knowledge."
"ANDY KESSLER: Someone has to invent these new tools. Careers often switch from service to design. Technology companies embedded the intelligence of operators and tellers into silicon and software and delivered their functionality cheaper and faster and better and expanded the market. I think in someway, this may happen to front line doctors. But there are great careers and wealth creating opportunities to help design these new technologies. The market is not just 300 million in the US, but 6 billion around the world.

RONAK TALATI: Thank you let me ask a follow-up on different opportunities out there.

RONAK TALATI: Let’s say there is an AMSA student or a health provider with an idea for a new medical technology. How do you suggest they follow this to fruition? Is there opportunity for them to profit from being a physician involved in health care?

ANDY KESSLER: Absolutely. Often, ideas can just take existing technologies and do it better. Some of the greatest technologies, like angioplasty, were brought to market by someone who saw it in operation and improved on it. Figure out what works, what is most predictive of disease and then pursue your ideas. There are venture capitalists out there to fund these ideas. Protect yourself by writing it all down and sending a letter to your-self with postmarks of the date. Or hire a lawyer and get a patent. But don't just use new technologies. Help invent them!"
"We will see the range of 'narrow AI' applications expand to virtually all areas of human endeavor over the next decade [2012/2010's]. We will also see multiple AI technologies combined so that narrow AI becomes less narrow."
-Kurzweil in 2002

"Doctors Group Posts Prices Online"

Sunday, May 27, 2007
"If a Von Neumann probe only finds evidence of primitive life (such as an unstable, savage Type 0 civilization) they might simply lie dormant on the moon, silently waiting for the Type 0 civilization to evolve into a stable Type I civilization. After waiting quietly for several millennia, they may be activated when the emerging Type I civilization is advanced enough to set up a lunar colony. Physicist Paul Davies of the University of Adelaide has even raised the possibility of a Von Neumann probe resting on our own moon, left over from a previous visitation in our system aeons ago."
"Astronomer John Barrows of the University of Sussex writes, "Suppose that we extend the classification upwards. Members of these hypothetical civilizations of Type IV, V, VI, ... and so on, would be able to manipulate the structures in the universe on larger and larger scales, encompassing groups of galaxies, clusters, and superclusters of galaxies." Civilizations beyond Type III may have enough energy to escape our dying universe via holes in space.

Lastly, physicist Alan Guth of MIT, one of the originators of the inflationary universe theory, has even computed the energy necessary to create a baby universe in the laboratory (the temperature is 1,000 trillion degrees, which is within the range of these hypothetical civilizations)."

The Age of Spiritual Machines

"At the start of the book, Molly is a 23-year-old woman who has little understanding of the concepts that are discussed in the book, yet has an enigmatic (sometimes romantic) interest in the author, which keeps her interested. By the time the book reaches Part III, Facing the Future, Molly has somewhat of a grasp on all these concepts. It is during Part III that she physiologically and technologically evolves (as predicted by the author) as the years go by, to the point that by the year 2099 (the farthest point in the author's scope), she has shed all biological matter and has become a dynamic, conscious sub-entity within a larger, singular entity, all within a machine (a Spiritual Machine, as it were). "Molly" has become so dynamic, in fact, that she is (in her words) ready to do anything, or be anything, you want or need."

Camera Phone Translator

Saturday, May 26, 2007

"The man of faith does not need evolution to be false; God made the watch -He can wind it any way he wants."
"I believe we'll truly discover the physics of eternity and meet God face to face. That would be a Singularity in itself, don't you think? And I'm beginning to think that the intelligence we call God is "immeasurably more vast, more ancient, and more magnificent than anything we've been willing to expect or imagine.""
"Why does anything exist at all? Nobody knows. And yet the answer is obvious. The First Cause must be obvious. It has to be obvious to Nothing, present in the absence of anything else, a substance formed from -blank-, a conclusion derived without data or initial assumptions. What is it that evokes conscious experience, the stuff that minds are made of? We are made of conscious experiences. There is nothing we experience more directly. How does it work? We don't have a clue. Two and a half millennia of trying to solve it and nothing to show for it but "I think therefore I am." The solutions seem to be necessarily simple, yet are demonstrably imperceptible. Perhaps the solutions operate outside the representations that can be formed with the human brain.

If so, then our descendants, successors, future selves will figure out the semantic primitives necessary and alter themselves to perceive them. The Powers will dissect the Universe and the Reality until they understand why anything exists at all, analyze neurons until they understand qualia. And that will only be the beginning. It won't end there. Why should there be only two hard problems? After all, if not for humans, the Universe would apparently contain only one hard problem, for how could a non-conscious thinker formulate the hard problem of consciousness? Might there be states of existence beyond mere consciousness - transsentience? Might solving the nature of reality create the ability to create new Universes, manipulate the laws of physics, even alter the kind of things that can be real - "ontotechnology"? That's what the Singularity is all about."
"No one is asking for these profound and endless changes; they stem more from the economic impulses of the marketplace."
"With cheap and flexible e-paper a reality, if it is organized into virtual books with dozens of pages, then the printed book may truly be at an end."

Friday, May 25, 2007

2004-"Could Nanomachines Be Tomorrow's Doctors?, Nature
Excerpts: DNA computer diagnoses disease and dispenses drug.
DNA strands can sense abnormal RNA that can indicate some types of cancer.
Source: Nature
Scientists have built a tiny biological computer that might be able to diagnose and treat certain types of cancer. The device, which only works in a test-tube, is years from clinical application. But researchers hope it will be the precursor of future 'smart drugs' that roam the body, fixing disease on the spot.
Instead of silicon chips and electrical circuits, the miniscule machine is made of DNA. And rather than being controlled by electrical signals, it senses changes in its environment and responds by releasing biological molecules."
"It's intelligent design for the IQ 140 people."
"In the 22nd century, we will have saturated the ability of matter and energy in and around the Earth to support computational processes, and intelligent computation will spread out to the rest of the universe."

Video Screen

"Virtual gadgetry becomes possible. Any physical device currently produced to assist in data-oriented tasks (such as the clock, radio, PC, arrival/departure board at an airport, stock ticker, PDA, PMP, informational posters/fliers/billboards, in-car navigation systems, etc. could be replaced by virtual devices that cost nothing to produce aside from the cost of writing the software. Examples might be a virtual wall clock, a to-do list for the day docked by your bed for you to look at first thing in the morning, etc."

"Virtual devices of all kinds, e.g. replacement of traditional screens, control panels, and entirely new applications impossible in 'real' hardware, like 3D objects interactively changing their shape and appearance based on the current task or need."

Thursday, May 24, 2007

Instant-On Computers

"By 2015, we will have real traction with nanotechnology."
"In 2015, if we want a large, high-resolution computer image, it will just appear virtually in the air."

"Facebook site invites outside software makers"

"Spammers, phishers threatened by DKIM standard"

"People are less bothered by spam"

Wednesday, May 23, 2007

"I don't see how anybody can live without knowing about the singularity."

DNA nanomachines

"The ability to make DNA strands with arbitrary base sequences allows researchers to self-assemble designer nanomachines and motors, and the well-established biochemistry of DNA can be used to control the operation of these devices."
"By around 2025 we'll have replaced fossil fuels."
"The virtual economy is starting to supplant the real economy. In 2004 the the virtual economy was equivalent to the economy of Namibia and heading towards that of Jamaica."


Tuesday, May 22, 2007

Yudkowsky "scored a perfect 1600 on his SATs at 15."
"A number of perfectly rational, well-informed, and extremely smart scientists are anticipating a Singularity."

Fog Screen


"Kaiser is considering outsourcing this surgery to other hospitals. I was told that Dr. Gregory Marshall at Kaiser in Pleasanton, California is spearheading this outsourcing."
~2025-"Imagine a website -- a giant online catalog -- offering basic products for free, better products at market price, and high-end products as well. Search for the product you want, then download a basic version to your home nanofactory and build it for only the cost of raw materials and power. Want a fancier 'name-brand' product, or a more advanced version with unique features? That will cost you something, and part of the cost will be returned to the designer(s) as a licensing fee.

Commercial entities could still be in business, designing upscale, prestigious, or especially innovative products. Many product designs, however, might be made freely downloadable, like freeware. Shared designs, on something like a wiki interface, could allow anyone to customize or make improvements."
"A Camcorder Designed for Internet Video Sharing"

"Expertise Just a Heartbeat Away"

Monday, May 21, 2007

“This year Jim Tour’s research group has gone significantly further. They have created a tiny nano-car that can motor along . You want nano-machines? You got it.”

Samsung 3D Display

"Paper-thin TV screens from Siemens available in 2007"

"If output per person in 2025 is more than 5 times what it is today, then the economy will have won the race. That means that all of the concerns that economists raise about the middle of this century, such as the external debt of the U.S. economy (the cumulative trade deficit), the fiscal implications of Social Security and Medicare, or gloomy scenarios for global warming, will be trivialized by the sheer heights that economic wealth will have scaled by that time. If Kurzweil is correct, then the mountain of debt that we fear we are accumulating now will seem like a molehill by 2040."

"If annual productivity growth was 3.5 percent in the decade ending in 2005, then it will be 7 percent in the decade ending in 2015 and 14 percent in the decade ending in 2025. By that time, productivity would be more than 7 times what it is today. Thus, if average income per person is $35,000 today, then it will be over $250,000 per person (in today's purchasing power) in 2025."
"Mining asteroids may be a profitable venture for the nascent commercial space firms by 2025."
"Everything — including physical products, once nanotechnology-based manufacturing becomes a reality [around 2025]— is becoming information."

"That got me to wondering: would foes of the concept of intellectual property start to demand the the 'chair' information, or the car design information, or the chip-design information or the unique finger-triggered navigation system on the iPod information (which is protected by patents), be as free and unencumbered as the software, music, and video information the 'ownership' of which they consider wrong?"

Mining asteroids around 2025...

Sunday, May 20, 2007

Said about nanofactory: "i thought i was smart but damn. Maybe someones secretly genetically engineering genius babies with iq's of 200+ call it a genius factory if you will, thats the only thing that could produce something this insane damn"


Time Travel-Michio Kaku

"1.2 Petabytes Around 2011"

"We are the universe contemplating itself - and preparing to wake up."

Saturday, May 19, 2007

"RAY KURZWEIL" Ultimately we’re not going to go to doctors that have visits in the way that we do today, we’re going to have systems in our body that are continually monitoring our body, detecting problems and fixing them immediately." (~2025)

"I’m totally in support of Eliezer and the Singularity Institute. I think that they’re one of the few organizations that has a clue."

3D Printer

$1 million private jet

Friday, May 18, 2007

Singularity Institute-"Very leveraged form of philanthropy" "You wil have an impact on the eventual future of humanity in a way unlike most other causes." - "Extracting Value From the Massively Connected World of 2015"

Thursday, May 17, 2007

Mobile E-mail for Free

A new wireless service provides its subscribers with e-mail at no cost for even the most basic mobile devices.


Wednesday, May 16, 2007

Google's Larry Page

"The high-end Lexus self-parking, automatic lane changing, staying at a fixed distance from another car"

Monday, May 14, 2007

Perfect computer-generated clones

$200 Holographic Video

Sunday, May 13, 2007

"You can use your mobile phone to control most of electrical appliances remotely via SMS concept."

Saturday, May 12, 2007

"It is important to point out that a key implication of nanotechnology is that it will bring the economics of software to hardware — that is, to physical products (~2025)."
"Kurzweil is saying that nanotechnology will make production of physical products as easy and low-cost as per-unit production of new copy of a software product. Granted, raw materials in greater quantities will be needed to produce a car rather a computer. Even so, once nanotechnology enables the construction of high-level constructs from constituent nano-parts, per-unit costs will be so low (raw materials are inexpensive) that the economics of the production of physical product will approach that of software."

Friday, May 11, 2007

"Nano-surveillance units could be swallowed, or injected and lodged in the body, so as to tag and keep track of individuals, even without their knowledge."

Sunday, May 06, 2007

"Might there be states of existence beyond mere consciousness - transsentience? Might solving the nature of reality create the ability to create new Universes, manipulate the laws of physics, even alter the kind of things that can be real -'ontotechnology'? That's what the Singularity is all about."

"Seeing humanity safely through the Singularity is my vocation, the central quest around which my life is organized."

3D TelePresence

Saturday, May 05, 2007

Places going underwater because of global warming

Friday, May 04, 2007

Wednesday, May 02, 2007

Life Extension